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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with the bookies after beating Roy Nelson, but in age 38 his skills are unlikely to be improving. Mitrione gets the superior technique, durability and power standing which should see him with a sensible benefit. Kharitonov will be looking to acquire the fight down but it’s going to be difficult given Mitrione’s superior athleticism. Expect a tentative beginning from both men before Mitrione starts amassing strikes for a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione at 1.95 (-105) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming into this fight after a significant injury layoff. Actually he has had only 1 success since Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 occasions himself. With so many question marks over his state the fight appears to be lined too broad. Ngannou obviously has huge stopping power and will be very dangerous on the toes early. If Cain has lost a step or comes in looking slow he’s in trouble. Historically his style attracts a lot of pressure to opponents but he’s receptive to taking shots himself, especially when gassed. Both men have avenues to success here, Ngannou can keep the fight standing and find an early KO. Cain will wish to avert the early storm and seem to wear the bigger man out using takedowns and cage strain. We like the underdog in what seems to be a 50/50 battle going in. On the other hand, the winner of this fight is likely to look dominant.
Bet = Ngannou at 2.65 (+165) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s inventory is at an all time low after his latest KO but his run towards the top was remarkable. Inside this matchup he will be the superior technical boxer with both the duration and speed benefit. Felder has a tendency to mirror his competitor but he will need to turn this one into a brawl to find success. It’s possible he joins with a kill shot, but the rest of the paths to victory have been in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to utilise his best weapons but Vick has shown he can stick into a gameplan and keep it at range. We enjoy the lineup on Vick to cruise to success with a clinical choice.
Bet = Vick in 1.91 (-110) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.73 Units.
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